Warning! Ego indulgence ahead...okay, you've been warned. I'm in the 98.6th percentile on ESPN, after a TERRIBLE first round (19/32 games picked...I was worst in both my pools). In a later post, I'll explain my system for picking tourny games that's helped me to three 1st place finishes and five top 3 finishes in seven years. Yay me. Plus I really needed the money this year.
Nothing much to say about the semi-finals games that wasn't covered in the preview posts. I lowballed the MSU score and overshot the UNC score. Oh well. My separate ACC and Big 10 biases game into play more than they should have. I really thought the MSU/UConn game would be more of a defensive battle.
Where my predictions went wrong:
- MSU won by a comfortable margin. Why? Three reasons: 1) Bench points for MSU, specifically reserve guard Durrell Summers. 10 pts, 6 boards, a dime and a steal. 2) Guard play. 18 assists for MSU, 8 for UConn. I guess the Price was wrong...bitch! (wow, I will probably go back and edit that out tomorrow). 3) Detroit. I knew the home court thing would help, but I had no idea the crowd would energize MSU like it did. I've never said anything good about Detroit before and I probably never will again but...way to go, guys.
- Nova stuck around a bit longer than I expected, but overall this was UNC domination. Looking at the play-by-play, Nova cut the lead to 5 midway through the second half, but that was quickly reversed. Like I predicted, not much of a game here. Jay Wright is a good coach and a great recruiter. He will be back.
As for Monday? I'm sticking with my pick. UNC by 10. That said, MSU is energized and inspired. They're never out of it. I really wish I didn't have to miss this one...like I said, I haven't missed a Final Four in 12 years. The last one I missed? Four-seeded Arizona toppled heavily-favored Kentucky in overtime. This feels ominous...
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